Serie A · 2023

Torino 1–0 Empoli · Serie A

Torino

WDLWD
1–0Historical match

Empoli

LWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 1–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.170.31
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Empoli): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.17–0.31, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Empoli10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoEmpoliBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsTorino 10 shots, Empoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsTorino 3 shots, Empoli 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.31 xGTorino 1.17 xG, Empoli 0.31 xG
  • Possession53%47%Torino 53%, Empoli 47%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersTorino 6 corners, Empoli 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsTorino 15 fouls, Empoli 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Duván Zapata · Torino · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Torino · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Torino · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 9′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 27′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 7′ · 0.24 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 28′ · 0.24 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 25′ · 0.25 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.21 xG. Empoli: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Duván Zapata · Torino · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.21 xG · Empoli 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
3Draws
0Empoli
Empoli — Torino · Serie A2–2
Torino — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Torino · Serie A1–3
Torino — Empoli · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino16 matchesEmpoli16 matches
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.63 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals16/160.99 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots16/1610.8 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target16/163.31 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession16/1644.6%
4.31 corners/matchCorners16/16● 4.5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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