PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Genoa 1–1 Inter · Serie A

Genoa

LDLDW
1–1Historical match

Inter

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa and Inter drew 1–1.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.541.81
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa and Inter drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Inter): shots 13–16, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.54–1.81, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsGenoa · Inter16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaInterBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionGenoa · Inter● 56.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaInterBaseline
Possession43.4%56.1%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsGenoa 13 shots, Inter 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsGenoa 4 shots, Inter 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG1.81 xGGenoa 0.54 xG, Inter 1.81 xG
  • Possession48%52%Genoa 48%, Inter 52%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersGenoa 8 corners, Inter 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsGenoa 13 fouls, Inter 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Augusto · Inter · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMilan Badelj · Genoa · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalCarlos Augusto · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 9′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFrancesco Acerbi · Inter · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 88′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.53 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.87 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Radu Drăguşin · Genoa · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.53 xG · Inter 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
1Draws
1Inter
Genoa — Inter · Serie A0–0
Inter — Genoa · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa18 matchesInter18 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.44 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.13 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 16 shots/match
2.94 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.28 shots/match
43.4%Possession18/18● 56.1%
3.44 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headGenoa — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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