PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lazio 3–1 Frosinone · Serie A

Lazio

LWDLW
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 3–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.561.13
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Frosinone 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Frosinone): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.56–1.13, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Frosinone's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Frosinone's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsLazio 13 shots, Frosinone 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLazio 5 shots, Frosinone 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.13 xGLazio 1.56 xG, Frosinone 1.13 xG
  • Possession55%45%Lazio 55%, Frosinone 45%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersLazio 6 corners, Frosinone 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsLazio 18 fouls, Frosinone 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Garritano · Frosinone · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Garritano · Frosinone · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlario Monterisi · Frosinone · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 72′ · 0.07 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 84′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 70′ · 0.24 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetPatric · Lazio · 84′ · 0.31 xG · goalMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG. Frosinone: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 70′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 72′Patric · Lazio · 84′Matías Soulé · Frosinone · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.55 xG · Frosinone 1.18 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Frosinone in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio18 matchesFrosinone18 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.72 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.13 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots18/1811.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/183.56 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession18/1852.2%
5.44 corners/match ●Corners18/184.94 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioFrosinone
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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