PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Juventus 1–0 Roma · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Roma

WWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–0.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.120.46
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Roma): shots 13–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.12–0.46, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsJuventus 13 shots, Roma 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsJuventus 4 shots, Roma 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.46 xGJuventus 1.12 xG, Roma 0.46 xG
  • Possession43%57%Juventus 43%, Roma 57%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersJuventus 2 corners, Roma 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsJuventus 15 fouls, Roma 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Cristante · Roma · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFilip Kostić · Juventus · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 19′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 47′ · 0.22 xG · goalWeston McKennie · Juventus · 84′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG. Roma: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adrien Rabiot · Juventus · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.15 xG · Roma 0.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Juventus
1Draws
1Roma
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Juventus · Serie A3–4
Juventus — Roma · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus18 matchesRoma18 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.11 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.35 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.4 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target18/183.89 shots/match
46.2%Possession18/18● 53.1%
4.83 corners/matchCorners18/184.83 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headJuventus — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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