Serie A · 2023Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fiorentina

WLDLL

5–1Full-time recap

Frosinone

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fiorentina	Frosinone
Shots	18 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.32 xG/match▲	1.12 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fiorentina: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.34 xG. Frosinone: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.34 xG · Frosinone 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsFiorentina · Frosinone11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fiorentina	Frosinone	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	10.3 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fiorentina

1Draws

0Frosinone

28 Sept 2023Frosinone — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Frosinone in 1 · 2 too close

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/241.33 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/242.04 goals/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/241.17 xG/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/241.62 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2411.1 shots/match

10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2415.2 shots/match

4.52 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/243.92 shots/match

4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/245.13 shots/match

58%●Possessionseason · 23/2452.1%

4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/24●5 corners/match

3.35 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/245.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2410.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/248%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/24▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina92.5

Frosinone52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina72.5

Frosinone40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina68.3

Frosinone5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina32.5

Frosinone17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina80

Frosinone2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina47.5

Frosinone65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina67.5

Frosinone32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fiorentina23 matchesFrosinone24 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored23/241.33 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/242.04 goals/match

1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals23/241.17 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots23/2411.1 shots/match

4.52 shots/match▲Shots on target23/243.92 shots/match

58%●Possession23/2452.1%

4.83 corners/matchCorners23/24●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2410.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fiorentina12 matchesFrosinone12 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/122.5 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.12 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.8 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.58 shots/match

59.6%●Possession12/1251%

4.42 corners/matchCorners12/12●4.92 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1211 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.66 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.77 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4