Serie A · 2023

Bologna 4–0 Lecce · Serie A

Bologna

LDLDW
4–0Historical match

Lecce

DLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 4–0.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.551.17
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Lecce 4–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lecce): shots 16–14, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.55–1.17, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8% ●PossessionBologna · Lecce44.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaLecceBaseline
Possession57.8%44.6%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsBologna 16 shots, Lecce 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBologna 6 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG1.17 xGBologna 1.55 xG, Lecce 1.17 xG
  • Possession65%35%Bologna 65%, Lecce 35%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersBologna 4 corners, Lecce 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsBologna 10 fouls, Lecce 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewis Ferguson · Bologna · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicola Sansone · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Venuti · Lecce · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 27′ · 0.05 xG · goalJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 58′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 49′ · 0.10 xG · goalRémi Oudin · Lecce · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 25′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 19′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 5′ · 0.30 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 22′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 82′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG. Lecce: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sam Beukema · Bologna · 5′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 27′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 49′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.56 xG · Lecce 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
1Draws
0Lecce
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna23 matchesLecce24 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/241 goal/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/241.54 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.11 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots23/24▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/244 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession23/2444.6%
3.87 corners/matchCorners23/24● 4 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2413.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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