Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–0 Fiorentina · Serie A

Bologna

DLDWW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.150.88
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Fiorentina 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Fiorentina): shots 18–12, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.15–0.88, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna, Fiorentina.

3.17 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Fiorentina3.27 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days3.17 days3.27 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsBologna 18 shots, Fiorentina 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsBologna 7 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.88 xGBologna 2.15 xG, Fiorentina 0.88 xG
  • Possession58%42%Bologna 58%, Fiorentina 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersBologna 2 corners, Fiorentina 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsBologna 11 fouls, Fiorentina 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolás González · Fiorentina · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Kayode · Fiorentina · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 12′ · 0.14 xG · goalCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 68′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 64′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 56′ · 0.21 xG · on targetM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 75′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 57′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 51′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 90′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Fiorentina: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 12′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.19 xG · Fiorentina 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
0Draws
3Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Bologna · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Fiorentina · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna24 matchesFiorentina24 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.5 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.17 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.27 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target24/244.46 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession24/2457.4%
3.79 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.75 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Feb 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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