PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Frosinone 0–3 Roma · Serie A

0–3Historical match

Roma

LWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–3.

Shots
2513
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.461.81
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Frosinone 3–0. Recorded in this match (Frosinone – Roma): shots 25–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.46–1.81, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots13 shotsFrosinone 25 shots, Roma 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFrosinone 7 shots, Roma 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.81 xGFrosinone 1.46 xG, Roma 1.81 xG
  • Possession43%57%Frosinone 43%, Roma 57%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersFrosinone 10 corners, Roma 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsFrosinone 10 fouls, Roma 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emanuele Valeri · Frosinone · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Frosinone · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Frosinone · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDean Huijsen · Roma · 38′ · 0.03 xG · goalTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Frosinone · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Frosinone · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPol Lirola · Frosinone · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSardar Azmoun · Roma · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Gelli · Frosinone · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGianluca Mancini · Roma · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 15′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 88′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 31′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 31′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSardar Azmoun · Roma · 71′ · 0.54 xG · goalLeandro Paredes · Roma · 81′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Frosinone: 25 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG. Roma: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dean Huijsen · Roma · 38′Sardar Azmoun · Roma · 71′Leandro Paredes · Roma · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Frosinone 1.54 xG · Roma 1.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Frosinone
0Draws
1Roma
Roma — Frosinone · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Frosinone favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Frosinone25 matchesRoma25 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.8 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.42 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/2512.2 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target25/253.96 shots/match
51.7%Possession25/25● 53.7%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners25/254.48 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFrosinoneRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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