Serie A · 2023

Empoli 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Empoli

LWDDW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli and Fiorentina drew 1–1.

Shots
59
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.030.73
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli and Fiorentina drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Fiorentina): shots 5–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.03–0.73, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

8.76 days ▲Rest daysEmpoli · Fiorentina3.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEmpoliFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days8.76 days3.83 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Fiorentina13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliFiorentinaBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots9 shotsEmpoli 5 shots, Fiorentina 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsEmpoli 4 shots, Fiorentina 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.73 xGEmpoli 1.03 xG, Fiorentina 0.73 xG
  • Possession39%61%Empoli 39%, Fiorentina 61%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersEmpoli 0 corners, Fiorentina 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsEmpoli 15 fouls, Fiorentina 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSzymon Żurkowski · Empoli · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Faraoni · Fiorentina · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 30′ · 0.08 xG · goalLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 43′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 48′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 81′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 5 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG. Fiorentina: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′M'Baye Niang · Empoli · 56′Lucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 1.06 xG · Fiorentina 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Empoli
2Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A0–2
Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0
Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli25 matchesFiorentina25 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.25 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.44 shots/match
45.1%Possession25/25● 57.5%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners25/254.68 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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