Serie A · 2023

Lazio 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

Lazio

WWDLW
1–2Historical match

Bologna

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.121.39
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Lazio 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Bologna): shots 12–11, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.12–1.39, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna.

7.9 days ▲Rest daysLazio · Bologna3.73 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLazioBolognaBaseline
Rest days7.9 days3.73 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsLazio 12 shots, Bologna 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLazio 7 shots, Bologna 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.39 xGLazio 1.12 xG, Bologna 1.39 xG
  • Possession44%56%Lazio 44%, Bologna 56%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersLazio 8 corners, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls11 foulsLazio 5 fouls, Bologna 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 31′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Casale · Lazio · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 7′ · 0.14 xG · on targetStefan Posch · Bologna · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 78′ · 0.24 xG · goalGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 18′ · 0.25 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 22′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 24′ · 0.29 xG · on targetOussama El Azzouzi · Bologna · 39′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.12 xG. Bologna: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 18′Oussama El Azzouzi · Bologna · 39′Joshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.12 xG · Bologna 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio24 matchesBologna25 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals24/251.24 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 4.4 shots/match
52%Possession24/25● 57.8%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners24/253.76 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2512 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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