Serie A · 2023Wed, 28 Feb 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sassuolo

LLDLL

1–6Full-time recap

Napoli

DWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sassuolo	Napoli
Shots	5 shots/match	27 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.33 xG/match	2.71 xG/match▲
Possession	28%	72%●
Corners	5 corners/match	10 corners/match●
Fouls	3 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sassuolo: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.33 xG. Napoli: 27 shots, 9 on target, 2.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 0.33 xG · Napoli 2.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli. A second useful context is: Napoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Napoli.

4.12 days▲Rest daysSassuolo · Napoli3.12 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Sassuolo	Napoli	Baseline
Rest days	4.12 days	3.12 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.54 goals/match	1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsSassuolo · Napoli16.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sassuolo	Napoli	Baseline
Shots	13.1 shots/match	16.9 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	15.3 shots/match	9.77 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sassuolo

1Draws

4Napoli

27 Aug 2023Napoli — Sassuolo · Serie A2–0

17 Feb 2023Sassuolo — Napoli · Serie A0–2

29 Oct 2022Napoli — Sassuolo · Serie A4–0

30 Apr 2022Napoli — Sassuolo · Serie A6–1

1 Dec 2021Sassuolo — Napoli · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Napoli in 10 · 2 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.54 goals/match

2.08 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.15 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.64 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲0.98 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲16.9 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲9.77 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲5.31 shots/match

5.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲3.35 shots/match

44.4%Possessionseason · 26/26●61.4%

5.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/26●6.19 corners/match

5.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲3.54 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.88 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2610.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

4%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲23%

69%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2665%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo32.5

Napoli97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo61.7

Napoli85.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo10.8

Napoli81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo87.5

Napoli62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo2.5

Napoli12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo75

Napoli92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo53.1

Napoli72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sassuolo26 matchesNapoli26 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.54 goals/match

2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.15 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.64 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots26/26▲16.9 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲5.31 shots/match

44.4%Possession26/26●61.4%

5.19 corners/matchCorners26/26●6.19 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.88 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sassuolo13 matchesNapoli14 matches

1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲1.64 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲1 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲1.48 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots13/1413.9 shots/match

4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲4.64 shots/match

44%Possession13/14●59.9%

5.46 corners/match●Corners13/144.93 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.62 fouls/matchFouls13/1410.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Feb 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4