PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Inter 4–0 Atalanta · Serie A

Inter

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4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 4–0.

Shots
156
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.050.31
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Atalanta 4–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Atalanta): shots 15–6, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.05–0.31, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.58 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Inter, Atalanta.

3.11 days ▲Rest daysInter · Atalanta3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInterAtalantaBaseline
Rest days3.11 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsInter 15 shots, Atalanta 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotInter 7 shots, Atalanta 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.31 xGInter 2.05 xG, Atalanta 0.31 xG
  • Possession59%41%Inter 59%, Atalanta 41%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerInter 4 corners, Atalanta 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsInter 10 fouls, Atalanta 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalKristjan Asllani · Inter · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 25′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 71′ · 0.26 xG · goalFederico Dimarco · Inter · 54′ · 0.28 xG · goalMatteo Darmian · Inter · 29′ · 0.34 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 54′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.32 xG. Atalanta: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matteo Darmian · Inter · 26′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 45′Federico Dimarco · Inter · 54′Davide Frattesi · Inter · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.32 xG · Atalanta 0.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
2Draws
0Atalanta
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A2–3
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A0–0
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter26 matchesAtalanta26 matches
2.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.85 goals/match
0.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.08 goals/match
2.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.54 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2614.3 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on target26/265.54 shots/match
56% ●Possession26/2650.3%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners26/265.65 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headInter — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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