PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cagliari 1–1 Napoli · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Napoli

WDWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari and Napoli drew 1–1.

Shots
89
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.751.29
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari and Napoli drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Napoli): shots 8–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.75–1.29, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Napoli16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariNapoliBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.96 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Napoli 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCagliari 3 shots, Napoli 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.29 xGCagliari 0.75 xG, Napoli 1.29 xG
  • Possession29%71%Cagliari 29%, Napoli 71%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCagliari 4 corners, Napoli 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsCagliari 12 fouls, Napoli 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jakub Jankto · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPasquale Mazzocchi · Napoli · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · Napoli · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · Napoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 24′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStanislav Lobotka · Napoli · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Dossena · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 50′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalMatteo Politano · Napoli · 90′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 66′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG. Napoli: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 90′Victor Osimhen · Napoli · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.75 xG · Napoli 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
1Draws
2Napoli
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari26 matchesNapoli25 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals26/25▲ 1.59 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots26/25▲ 16.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target26/25▲ 5.16 shots/match
43.4%Possession26/25● 61%
4.85 corners/matchCorners26/25● 6.04 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariNapoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headCagliari — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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