Serie A · 2023

Empoli 0–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Empoli

DDWDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 0–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.460.57
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Cagliari): shots 16–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.46–0.57, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsEmpoli 16 shots, Cagliari 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsEmpoli 3 shots, Cagliari 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.57 xGEmpoli 1.46 xG, Cagliari 0.57 xG
  • Possession56%44%Empoli 56%, Cagliari 44%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersEmpoli 9 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsEmpoli 11 fouls, Cagliari 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Destro · Empoli · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedViktor Kovalenko · Empoli · 4′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlberto Cerri · Empoli · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 46′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArdian Ismajli · Empoli · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJakub Jankto · Cagliari · 69′ · 0.17 xG · goalNahitan Nández · Cagliari · 69′ · 0.22 xG · on targetYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 17′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.50 xG. Cagliari: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jakub Jankto · Cagliari · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 1.50 xG · Cagliari 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Empoli
2Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Empoli · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli27 matchesCagliari27 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.05 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots27/2712 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target27/273.52 shots/match
45.6% ●Possession27/2743.4%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners27/274.74 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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