Serie A · 2023Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Frosinone

DLLLL

1–1Full-time recap

Lecce

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Frosinone	Lecce
Shots	15 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.33 xG/match▲	1.23 xG/match
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	12 corners/match●	8 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsFrosinone · Lecce13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Frosinone	Lecce	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	13 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Frosinone

0Draws

1Lecce

16 Dec 2023Lecce — Frosinone · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Frosinone favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 4 · 6 too close

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/270.93 goals/match

2.07 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.63 goals/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/271.09 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 27/271.58 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲13 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/27▲13.7 shots/match

4.07 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/273.93 shots/match

5.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/274.96 shots/match

51.7%●Possessionseason · 27/2743.9%

5.37 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/274.3 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲5.04 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/277%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Frosinone57.5

Lecce17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Frosinone47.5

Lecce42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Frosinone6.7

Lecce24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Frosinone17.5

Lecce92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Frosinone7.5

Lecce92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Frosinone80

Lecce27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Frosinone43.1

Lecce56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Frosinone27 matchesLecce27 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored27/270.93 goals/match

2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲1.63 goals/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goals27/271.09 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots27/27▲13 shots/match

4.07 shots/matchShots on target27/273.93 shots/match

51.7%●Possession27/2743.9%

5.37 corners/match●Corners27/274.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Frosinone14 matchesLecce14 matches

1.64 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.71 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.64 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals14/140.93 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.1 shots/match

4.64 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.29 shots/match

53.3%●Possession14/1442.6%

5.93 corners/match●Corners14/144 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.43 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.88 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4