Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Lazio

DLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 2–1.

Shots
225
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.920.3
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Lazio 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Lazio): shots 22–5, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.92–0.3, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio.

8.24 days ▲Rest daysFiorentina · Lazio4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFiorentinaLazioBaseline
Rest days8.24 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Lazio10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaLazioBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots5 shotsFiorentina 22 shots, Lazio 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFiorentina 7 shots, Lazio 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.92 xG0.3 xGFiorentina 2.92 xG, Lazio 0.3 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fiorentina 54%, Lazio 46%
  • Corners13 corners2 cornersFiorentina 13 corners, Lazio 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsFiorentina 15 fouls, Lazio 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Fiorentina · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Fiorentina · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás González · Fiorentina · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatías Vecino · Lazio · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Fiorentina · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Fiorentina · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Lazio · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 41′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 2′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Fiorentina · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMichael Kayode · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.33 xG · goalGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.44 xG · goalNicolás González · Fiorentina · 67′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 22 shots, 6 on target, 2.99 xG. Lazio: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Michael Kayode · Fiorentina · 61′Giacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 69′Luis Alberto · Lazio · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.99 xG · Lazio 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fiorentina
1Draws
4Lazio
Lazio — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Lazio — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Lazio · Serie A0–4
Fiorentina — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina26 matchesLazio26 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.23 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.16 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.7 shots/match
4.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.42 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession26/2651.5%
5 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.04 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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