PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Roma 3–2 Torino · Serie A

Roma

WWWLW
3–2Historical match

Torino

WDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 3–2.

Shots
614
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.360.63
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Torino 3–2. Recorded in this match (Roma – Torino): shots 6–14, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.36–0.63, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.85 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Torino.

8.02 days ▲Rest daysRoma · Torino3.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRomaTorinoBaseline
Rest days8.02 days3.91 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsRoma 6 shots, Torino 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsRoma 3 shots, Torino 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.63 xGRoma 1.36 xG, Torino 0.63 xG
  • Possession54%46%Roma 54%, Torino 46%
  • Corners0 corners4 cornersRoma 0 corners, Torino 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsRoma 12 fouls, Torino 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
2Draws
0Torino
Torino — Roma · Serie A1–1
Torino — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Roma · Serie A0–3
Roma — Torino · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma26 matchesTorino26 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.96 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.05 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots26/2611.5 shots/match
3.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.35 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession26/2652.5%
4.31 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.5 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headRoma — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required