PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 0–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Lecce

WLLLD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 0–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.980.63
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Hellas Verona): shots 15–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.98–0.63, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsLecce 15 shots, Hellas Verona 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLecce 3 shots, Hellas Verona 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG0.63 xGLecce 0.98 xG, Hellas Verona 0.63 xG
  • Possession56%44%Lecce 56%, Hellas Verona 44%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersLecce 11 corners, Hellas Verona 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsLecce 15 fouls, Hellas Verona 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Blin · Lecce · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 17′ · 0.04 xG · goalLameck Banda · Lecce · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 26′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 14′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG. Hellas Verona: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Michael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.99 xG · Hellas Verona 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
1Draws
2Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce28 matchesHellas Verona28 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored28/280.89 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/280.9 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.2 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target28/283.82 shots/match
44.3%Possession28/28● 44.4%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners28/283.36 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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