Serie A · 2023Mon, 20 May 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Salernitana

LLLLD

1–2Full-time recap

Hellas Verona

DWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Salernitana	Hellas Verona
Shots	9 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.59 xG/match	2.15 xG/match▲
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.78 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Salernitana

1Draws

1Hellas Verona

30 Dec 2023Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A0–1

13 Feb 2023Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A1–0

9 Oct 2022Salernitana — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1

9 Jan 2022Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A1–2

22 Sept 2021Salernitana — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Salernitana favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 11 · 2 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲0.97 goals/match

2.11 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.32 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/37▲0.99 xG/match

1.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.27 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲11.5 shots/match

15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲13.5 shots/match

3.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲3.86 shots/match

5.32 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲4.19 shots/match

44.5%Possessionseason · 37/37●44.6%

3.92 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/373.62 corners/match

6.84 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲5.73 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3714.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲22%

59%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲70%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Salernitana25

Hellas Verona32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Salernitana5.8

Hellas Verona27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Salernitana2.5

Hellas Verona35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Salernitana27.5

Hellas Verona57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Salernitana32.5

Hellas Verona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Salernitana12.5

Hellas Verona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Salernitana13.8

Hellas Verona40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Salernitana37 matchesHellas Verona37 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲0.97 goals/match

2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.32 goals/match

0.78 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲0.99 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots37/37▲11.5 shots/match

3.08 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲3.86 shots/match

44.5%Possession37/37●44.6%

3.92 corners/match●Corners37/373.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Salernitana19 matchesHellas Verona19 matches

0.89 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.79 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.32 goals/match

0.88 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲0.97 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots19/1910.8 shots/match

3.58 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.16 shots/match

45.2%●Possession19/1944.3%

4.79 corners/match●Corners19/193 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4