PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 1–2 Hellas Verona · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 1–2.

Shots
917
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.592.15
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Salernitana 2–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Hellas Verona): shots 9–17, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.59–2.15, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsSalernitana 9 shots, Hellas Verona 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsSalernitana 1 shot, Hellas Verona 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG2.15 xGSalernitana 0.59 xG, Hellas Verona 2.15 xG
  • Possession53%47%Salernitana 53%, Hellas Verona 47%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSalernitana 4 corners, Hellas Verona 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls19 foulsSalernitana 14 fouls, Hellas Verona 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Salernitana
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A0–1
Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A1–0
Salernitana — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1
Hellas Verona — Salernitana · Serie A1–2
Salernitana — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana37 matchesHellas Verona37 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 0.97 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.32 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 0.99 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 3.86 shots/match
44.5%Possession37/37● 44.6%
3.92 corners/match ●Corners37/373.62 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSalernitanaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headSalernitana — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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