Serie A · 2023

Bologna 3–3 Juventus · Serie A

Bologna

DWDDW
3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna and Juventus drew 3–3.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.50.73
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna and Juventus drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Juventus): shots 10–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.5–0.73, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.9% ●PossessionBologna · Juventus48.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaJuventusBaseline
Possession57.9%48.6%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsBologna 10 shots, Juventus 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBologna 5 shots, Juventus 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.73 xGBologna 1.5 xG, Juventus 0.73 xG
  • Possession62%38%Bologna 62%, Juventus 38%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersBologna 3 corners, Juventus 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls21 foulsBologna 8 fouls, Juventus 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bremer · Juventus · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 84′ · 0.04 xG · goalDan Ndoye · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 83′ · 0.05 xG · goalManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 2′ · 0.11 xG · goalKacper Urbański · Bologna · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 11′ · 0.15 xG · goalFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 76′ · 0.26 xG · goalRemo Freuler · Bologna · 1′ · 0.36 xG · on targetRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 53′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.49 xG. Juventus: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Riccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 2′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 11′Riccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 53′Federico Chiesa · Juventus · 76′Arkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 83′Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.49 xG · Juventus 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bologna
3Draws
2Juventus
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna37 matchesJuventus37 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored37/371.41 goals/match
0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed37/370.84 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.49 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/374.14 shots/match
57.9% ●Possession37/3748.6%
4.3 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.14 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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