Serie A · 2023

Roma 1–0 Genoa · Serie A

Roma

LWDDL
1–0Historical match

Genoa

DLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots
2112
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.830.5
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Genoa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Genoa): shots 21–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.83–0.5, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa have a visible away split

moderate

Genoa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.89 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.89 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.5% ●PossessionRoma · Genoa44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaGenoaBaseline
Possession54.5%44.5%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots12 shotsRoma 21 shots, Genoa 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRoma 6 shots, Genoa 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.5 xGRoma 0.83 xG, Genoa 0.5 xG
  • Possession54%46%Roma 54%, Genoa 46%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersRoma 6 corners, Genoa 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsRoma 10 fouls, Genoa 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Retegui · Genoa · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAngeliño · Roma · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdoardo Bove · Roma · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeandro Paredes · Roma · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeandro Paredes · Roma · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Roma · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Genoa · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · Roma · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAarón Martín · Genoa · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 71′ · 0.05 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 79′ · 0.07 xG · goalMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 68′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 67′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 21 shots, 6 on target, 0.85 xG. Genoa: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Roma · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.85 xG · Genoa 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
1Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Roma · Serie A4–1
Roma — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Roma · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma37 matchesGenoa37 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.16 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.22 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/370.94 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots37/3710.5 shots/match
4.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.38 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession37/3744.5%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners37/373.76 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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