Serie A · 2023

Hellas Verona 2–2 Inter · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Inter

WWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona and Inter drew 2–2.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
811
Expected goals
1.752.38
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona and Inter drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Inter): shots 18–15, shots on target 8–11, expected goals 1.75–2.38, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHellas Verona · Inter15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaInterBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionHellas Verona · Inter● 57.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaInterBaseline
Possession44.4%57.2%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsHellas Verona 18 shots, Inter 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots11 shotsHellas Verona 8 shots, Inter 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG2.38 xGHellas Verona 1.75 xG, Inter 2.38 xG
  • Possession35%65%Hellas Verona 35%, Inter 65%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersHellas Verona 9 corners, Inter 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls8 foulsHellas Verona 17 fouls, Inter 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRúben Vinagre · Hellas Verona · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Hellas Verona · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStefan Mitrović · Hellas Verona · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 79′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJuan Cuadrado · Inter · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 32′ · 0.07 xG · on targetStefan Mitrović · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedElayis Tavsan · Hellas Verona · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStefan Mitrović · Hellas Verona · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 19′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 84′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedStefan Mitrović · Hellas Verona · 13′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.15 xG · goalSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 84′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 45′ · 0.26 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 60′ · 0.30 xG · on targetAlexis Sánchez · Inter · 60′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 10′ · 0.43 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 88′ · 0.51 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 16′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.72 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 11 on target, 2.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 16′Tomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 37′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 10′Marko Arnautović · Inter · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.72 xG · Inter 2.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hellas Verona
0Draws
5Inter
Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1
Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A0–6
Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona38 matchesInter38 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 2.34 goals/match
1.34 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.58 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲ 2.08 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots38/38▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 5.58 shots/match
44.4%Possession38/38● 57.2%
3.76 corners/matchCorners38/38● 6 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3810.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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