PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo · Serie A

Lazio

WWDWD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Sassuolo drew 1–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.031.11
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Sassuolo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Sassuolo): shots 8–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.03–1.11, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.18 corners/matchCornersLazio · Sassuolo● 5.32 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioSassuoloBaseline
Corners5.18 corners/match5.32 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.4% ●PossessionLazio · Sassuolo43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLazioSassuoloBaseline
Possession53.4%43.6%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsLazio 8 shots, Sassuolo 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLazio 6 shots, Sassuolo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG1.11 xGLazio 1.03 xG, Sassuolo 1.11 xG
  • Possession69%31%Lazio 69%, Sassuolo 31%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersLazio 5 corners, Sassuolo 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsLazio 15 fouls, Sassuolo 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Pellegrini · Lazio · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 85′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 60′ · 0.03 xG · goalMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFilippo Missori · Sassuolo · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Mulattieri · Sassuolo · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuca Lipani · Sassuolo · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Missori · Sassuolo · 4′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Mulattieri · Sassuolo · 74′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedElseid Hysaj · Lazio · 3′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 31′ · 0.24 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Lazio · 85′ · 0.38 xG · on targetMattia Viti · Sassuolo · 66′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 8 shots, 6 on target, 1.03 xG. Sassuolo: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 60′Mattia Viti · Sassuolo · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.03 xG · Sassuolo 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lazio
0Draws
1Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Sassuolo · Serie A2–0
Sassuolo — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1
Sassuolo — Lazio · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio38 matchesSassuolo38 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.13 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.97 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.07 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots38/3812.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 4 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession38/3843.6%
5.18 corners/matchCorners38/38● 5.32 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls38/3810.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioSassuolo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLazio — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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