Serie A · 2024Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Napoli

LWWWD

2–0Full-time recap

Monza

DLDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Napoli	Monza
Shots	11 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.17 xG/match▲	0.3 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Napoli: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.21 xG. Monza: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.21 xG · Monza 0.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match▲ShotsNapoli · Monza5.83 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Napoli	Monza	Baseline
Shots	15.2 shots/match	5.83 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	10.5 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible home split

weak

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.7 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.83 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Napoli

1Draws

1Monza

7 Apr 2024Monza — Napoli · Serie A2–4

29 Dec 2023Napoli — Monza · Serie A0–0

14 May 2023Monza — Napoli · Serie A2–0

21 Aug 2022Napoli — Monza · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 0 · 2 too close

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.37 xG/match

0.98 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.14 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/65.83 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/613.7 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/62 shots/match

2.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/63.5 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 6/6●49.5%

4.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 6/62.83 corners/match

4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/64.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/614.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli37.5

Monza42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli65.8

Monza7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli85

Monza59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli87.5

Monza2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli57.5

Monza72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli37.5

Monza7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli53.1

Monza21.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Napoli6 matchesMonza6 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.37 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots6/65.83 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62 shots/match

48.7%Possession6/6●49.5%

4.33 corners/match●Corners6/62.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Napoli3 matchesMonza3 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.31 xG/match

18.7 shots/match▲Shots3/35 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/31.67 shots/match

47.3%Possession3/3●48.3%

4.67 corners/match●Corners3/32 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/316.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4