PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 3–1 Como · Serie A

Napoli

WWWDW
3–1Historical match

Como

DLDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 3–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.910.37
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Como 3–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Como): shots 9–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.91–0.37, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsNapoli 9 shots, Como 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsNapoli 6 shots, Como 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.37 xGNapoli 1.91 xG, Como 0.37 xG
  • Possession40%60%Napoli 40%, Como 60%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerNapoli 4 corners, Como 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsNapoli 7 fouls, Como 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alberto Moreno · Como · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgnace Van der Brempt · Como · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Roberto · Como · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Como · 43′ · 0.03 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Napoli · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 1′ · 0.08 xG · goalScott McTominay · Napoli · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 75′ · 0.30 xG · on targetDavid Neres · Napoli · 86′ · 0.53 xG · goalRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 53′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.95 xG. Como: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 1′Romelu Lukaku · Napoli · 53′David Neres · Napoli · 86′Gabriel Strefezza · Como · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.95 xG · Como 0.35 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli7 matchesComo7 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.18 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots7/714.4 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.57 shots/match
47.4%Possession7/7● 52.6%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners7/74 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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