Serie A · 2024Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Udinese

WWWLL

1–0Full-time recap

Lecce

LWDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Udinese	Lecce
Shots	12 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.87 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	5 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Udinese: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG. Lecce: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.87 xG · Lecce 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.43 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · Lecce15.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Udinese	Lecce	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	14.1 shots/match
Shots against	15.7 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Udinese

2Draws

1Lecce

13 May 2024Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–2

23 Oct 2023Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

28 Apr 2023Lecce — Udinese · Serie A1–0

4 Nov 2022Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 4 · 5 too close

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.43 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.71 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.09 xG/match

1.67 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.59 xG/match

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/7▲15.3 shots/match

15.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲14.3 shots/match

3.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲4.43 shots/match

5.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲4.43 shots/match

41.7%Possessionseason · 7/7●41.9%

4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/7●4.86 corners/match

5.43 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/76.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/729%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese20

Lecce27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese30

Lecce45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese27.5

Lecce35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese27.5

Lecce97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese80

Lecce37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5

Lecce62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese43.1

Lecce58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Udinese7 matchesLecce7 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.09 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots7/7▲15.3 shots/match

3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.43 shots/match

41.7%Possession7/7●41.9%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7●4.86 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Udinese4 matchesLecce4 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match

0.87 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.72 xG/match

9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.8 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

43.8%●Possession4/443.3%

5 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.76 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4