Serie A · 2024

Udinese 1–0 Lecce · Serie A

Udinese

WWWLL
1–0Historical match

Lecce

LWDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–0.

Shots
129
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.870.51
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Lecce): shots 12–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.87–0.51, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsUdinese · Lecce15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseLecceBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsUdinese 12 shots, Lecce 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsUdinese 4 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.51 xGUdinese 0.87 xG, Lecce 0.51 xG
  • Possession56%44%Udinese 56%, Lecce 44%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersUdinese 5 corners, Lecce 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsUdinese 12 fouls, Lecce 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOier Zarraga · Udinese · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 30′ · 0.11 xG · on targetChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 75′ · 0.12 xG · goalKeinan Davis · Udinese · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 33′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG. Lecce: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jordan Zemura · Udinese · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.87 xG · Lecce 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
2Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–2
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese7 matchesLecce7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.09 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.43 shots/match
41.7%Possession7/7● 41.9%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.86 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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