Serie A · 2024Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Inter

WWDLW

3–2Full-time recap

Torino

WWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Torino
Shots	29 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.44 xG/match▲	1.61 xG/match
Possession	80%●	20%
Corners	14 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 29 shots, 8 on target, 2.51 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.51 xG · Torino 1.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Torino10.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Torino	Baseline
Shots	16.4 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	14.1 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	19.1 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.7%●PossessionInter · Torino49.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Torino	Baseline
Possession	62.7%	49.3%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Inter

1Draws

0Torino

28 Apr 2024Inter — Torino · Serie A2–0

21 Oct 2023Torino — Inter · Serie A0–3

3 Jun 2023Torino — Inter · Serie A0–1

10 Sept 2022Inter — Torino · Serie A1–0

13 Mar 2022Torino — Inter · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 0 · 3 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71.71 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.57 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.35 xG/match

1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.82 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.3 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/719.1 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/74.43 shots/match

4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/76 shots/match

62.7%●Possessionseason · 7/749.3%

6.86 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/72.86 corners/match

3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/76.43 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/710.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter97.5

Torino42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter86.7

Torino49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter67.5

Torino17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter47.5

Torino12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter27.5

Torino12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter92.5

Torino7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter72.5

Torino24.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter7 matchesTorino7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.71 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.57 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.35 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.43 shots/match

62.7%●Possession7/749.3%

6.86 corners/match●Corners7/72.86 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter4 matchesTorino4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.48 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots4/410.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match

63%●Possession4/448%

8.25 corners/match●Corners4/42.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.34 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4