Serie A · 2024Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 16:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Empoli

DWDDW

0–0Full-time recap

Fiorentina

DDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Empoli	Fiorentina
Shots	8 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	0.36 xG/match	0.68 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Empoli: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.36 xG. Fiorentina: 13 shots, 0 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.36 xG · Fiorentina 0.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.83 shots/match▲ShotsEmpoli · Fiorentina14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Empoli	Fiorentina	Baseline
Shots	8.83 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	16 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

34.5%PossessionEmpoli · Fiorentina●57%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Empoli	Fiorentina	Baseline
Possession	34.5%	57%	52.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Empoli

3Draws

1Fiorentina

18 Feb 2024Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

23 Oct 2023Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A0–2

19 Feb 2023Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–1

21 Aug 2022Empoli — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0

3 Apr 2022Fiorentina — Empoli · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Empoli favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 8 · 2 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.17 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.17 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.52 xG/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.97 xG/match

8.83 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲14.5 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲11.2 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5.17 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.5 shots/match

34.5%Possessionseason · 6/6●57%

4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●5.33 corners/match

6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Empoli2.5

Fiorentina77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Empoli17.5

Fiorentina59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Empoli65.8

Fiorentina57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Empoli42.5

Fiorentina37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Empoli82.5

Fiorentina42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Empoli30

Fiorentina62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Empoli34.4

Fiorentina61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Empoli6 matchesFiorentina6 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.17 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.52 xG/match

8.83 shots/matchShots6/6▲14.5 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.17 shots/match

34.5%Possession6/6●57%

4.17 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.3 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Empoli3 matchesFiorentina3 matches

0 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match

0 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

0.44 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.13 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots3/3▲13.7 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match

36.3%Possession3/3●57.7%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.23 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4