PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

Monza

DDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaMonza
Shots16 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.93 xG/match1.39 xG/match▲
Possession59%●41%
Corners9 corners/match●6 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Giangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Pereira · Monza · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 9′ · 0.03 xG · goalDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReda Belahyane · Hellas Verona · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 52′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDavide Faraoni · Hellas Verona · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 79′ · 0.38 xG · goalDany Mota · Monza · 74′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Monza: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dany Mota · Monza · 9′Dany Mota · Monza · 74′Alessandro Bianco · Monza · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.91 xG · Monza 1.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsHellas Verona · Monza6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaMonzaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible home split

moderate

Hellas Verona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Hellas Verona
2Draws
2Monza
Monza — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Monza · Serie A1–3
Hellas Verona — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 4 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.59 xG/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.1 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/86 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/814.1 shots/match
2.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/82.38 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.63 shots/match
40.9%Possessionseason · 8/8●46.5%
5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 8/83 corners/match
5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona7.5
Monza37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona29.2
Monza10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona33.3
Monza58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona37.5
Monza2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona50
Monza82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona60
Monza10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona33.8
Monza24.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona8 matchesMonza8 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.59 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots8/86 shots/match
2.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.38 shots/match
40.9%Possession8/8●46.5%
5 corners/match●Corners8/83 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12 fouls/matchFouls8/814.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona5 matchesMonza4 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41.25 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲1 goals/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.58 xG/match
12 shots/match▲Shots5/46.25 shots/match
2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/42.25 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/4●46.5%
6.4 corners/match●Corners5/43 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/415.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaMonza
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Hellas Verona vs Monza — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath