PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Hellas Verona 0–3 Monza · Serie A

0–3Historical match

Monza

DDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza won 0–3.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.931.39
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza beat Hellas Verona 3–0. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Monza): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.93–1.39, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHellas Verona · Monza6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaMonzaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible home split

moderate

Hellas Verona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsHellas Verona 16 shots, Monza 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsHellas Verona 4 shots, Monza 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.39 xGHellas Verona 0.93 xG, Monza 1.39 xG
  • Possession59%41%Hellas Verona 59%, Monza 41%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersHellas Verona 9 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsHellas Verona 8 fouls, Monza 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Giangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Pereira · Monza · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 9′ · 0.03 xG · goalDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReda Belahyane · Hellas Verona · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 52′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDavide Faraoni · Hellas Verona · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 79′ · 0.38 xG · goalDany Mota · Monza · 74′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Monza: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dany Mota · Monza · 9′Dany Mota · Monza · 74′Alessandro Bianco · Monza · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.91 xG · Monza 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hellas Verona
2Draws
2Monza
Monza — Hellas Verona · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Monza · Serie A1–3
Hellas Verona — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona8 matchesMonza8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.59 xG/match
10.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/86 shots/match
2.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.38 shots/match
40.9%Possession8/8● 46.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners8/83 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls8/814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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