PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 0–1 Inter · Serie A

Roma

DDWWD
0–1Historical match

Inter

WDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.041.04
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Inter): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.04–1.04, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Roma have a visible home split

weak

Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsRoma 14 shots, Inter 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsRoma 3 shots, Inter 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.04 xGRoma 1.04 xG, Inter 1.04 xG
  • Possession55%45%Roma 55%, Inter 45%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersRoma 3 corners, Inter 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsRoma 12 fouls, Inter 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · Roma · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 60′ · 0.07 xG · goalTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · Roma · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetZeki Çelik · Roma · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 78′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · Roma · 69′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 70′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 84′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.02 xG. Inter: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 1.02 xG · Inter 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
0Draws
4Inter
Roma — Inter · Serie A2–4
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Inter · Serie A0–2
Inter — Roma · Serie A1–2
Inter — Roma · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma8 matchesInter8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.72 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots8/815.8 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.25 shots/match
60.4%Possession8/8● 60.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.38 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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