Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 3–2 Torino · Serie A

3–2Historical match

Torino

WDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 3–2.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.671.44
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Torino 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Torino): shots 17–17, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.67–1.44, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Torino11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariTorinoBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match18.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsCagliari 17 shots, Torino 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Torino 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.44 xGCagliari 1.67 xG, Torino 1.44 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cagliari 42%, Torino 58%
  • Corners9 corners12 cornersCagliari 9 corners, Torino 12 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsCagliari 9 fouls, Torino 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
2Draws
1Torino
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A1–2
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A0–0
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari8 matchesTorino8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.36 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.5 shots/match
47%Possession8/8● 50.4%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners8/84 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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