Serie A · 2024

Como 1–5 Lazio · Serie A

Como

WWLDL
1–5Historical match

Lazio

LWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–5.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
1.073.2
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Como 5–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Lazio): shots 14–14, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 1.07–3.2, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.2 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsComo 14 shots, Lazio 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsComo 2 shots, Lazio 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG3.2 xGComo 1.07 xG, Lazio 3.2 xG
  • Possession51%49%Como 51%, Lazio 49%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersComo 3 corners, Lazio 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsComo 14 fouls, Lazio 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Paz · Como · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moreno · Como · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNuno Tavares · Lazio · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Como · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Dossena · Como · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Mazzitelli · Como · 53′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Braunöder · Como · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 31′ · 0.11 xG · goalLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 51′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Cerri · Como · 80′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Como · 75′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 81′ · 0.54 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goalPatric · Lazio · 72′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG. Lazio: 14 shots, 7 on target, 3.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Luca Mazzitelli · Como · 53′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 28′Pedro · Lazio · 31′Patric · Lazio · 72′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 81′Loum Tchaouna · Lazio · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 1.06 xG · Lazio 3.23 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como10 matchesLazio10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.2 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.77 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.4 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.4 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession10/1052.5%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.2 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 31 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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