PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 1–0 Torino · Serie A

Roma

WWDLL
1–0Historical match

Torino

WLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–0.

Shots
94
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.630.21
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Torino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Torino): shots 9–4, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.63–0.21, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Torino10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaTorinoBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match18 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Roma.

4 days ▲Rest daysRoma · Torino6.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRomaTorinoBaseline
Rest days4 days6.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1% ●PossessionRoma · Torino47.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaTorinoBaseline
Possession60.1%47.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots4 shotsRoma 9 shots, Torino 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsRoma 3 shots, Torino 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG0.21 xGRoma 0.63 xG, Torino 0.21 xG
  • Possession57%43%Roma 57%, Torino 43%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersRoma 3 corners, Torino 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsRoma 11 fouls, Torino 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Karol Linetty · Torino · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlieu Njie · Torino · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · Roma · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · Roma · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · Roma · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Le Fée · Roma · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Torino · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGuillermo Maripán · Torino · 35′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · Roma · 20′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Torino: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Paulo Dybala · Roma · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.66 xG · Torino 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
2Draws
0Torino
Roma — Torino · Serie A3–2
Torino — Roma · Serie A1–1
Torino — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Roma · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma10 matchesTorino10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.25 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession10/1047.7%
3.9 corners/match ●Corners10/103.8 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 31 Oct 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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