Serie A · 2024

Torino 0–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Torino

LLLWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 0–1.

Shots
98
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.580.6
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Torino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Fiorentina): shots 9–8, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.58–0.6, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Torino, Fiorentina.

2.76 days ▲Rest daysTorino · Fiorentina2.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTorinoFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days2.76 days2.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Fiorentina14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoFiorentinaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsTorino 9 shots, Fiorentina 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsTorino 1 shot, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG0.6 xGTorino 0.58 xG, Fiorentina 0.6 xG
  • Possession53%47%Torino 53%, Fiorentina 47%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersTorino 1 corner, Fiorentina 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsTorino 16 fouls, Fiorentina 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Saúl Coco · Torino · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaúl Coco · Torino · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Pedersen · Torino · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Tameze · Torino · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 11′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Pedersen · Torino · 71′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 41′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.58 xG. Fiorentina: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.58 xG · Fiorentina 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Torino
2Draws
1Fiorentina
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0
Fiorentina — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Torino · Serie A0–1
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino11 matchesFiorentina11 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.6 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.64 shots/match
48.2%Possession11/11● 54.3%
3.55 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.36 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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