Serie A · 2024

Lazio 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Lazio

WWLWW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 2–1.

Shots
206
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.910.24
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Cagliari): shots 20–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.91–0.24, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.82 corners/matchCornersLazio · Cagliari● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioCagliariBaseline
Corners5.82 corners/match6 corners/match4.64 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lazio.

4 days ▲Rest daysLazio · Cagliari6.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLazioCagliariBaseline
Rest days4 days6.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsLazio 20 shots, Cagliari 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotLazio 5 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.91 xG0.24 xGLazio 2.91 xG, Cagliari 0.24 xG
  • Possession54%46%Lazio 54%, Cagliari 46%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersLazio 2 corners, Cagliari 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Cagliari 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Cagliari · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 41′ · 0.05 xG · goalGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMatías Vecino · Lazio · 82′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 29′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 90′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 59′ · 0.43 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 2′ · 0.63 xG · goalMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 20 shots, 5 on target, 3.02 xG. Cagliari: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Boulaye Dia · Lazio · 2′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 76′Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 3.02 xG · Cagliari 0.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lazio
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Lazio · Serie A1–3
Lazio — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Cagliari · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio11 matchesCagliari11 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.24 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots11/1113.3 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.82 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession11/1145.5%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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