Serie A · 2024

Empoli 1–0 Como · Serie A

Empoli

DLLDL
1–0Historical match

Como

WLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 1–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.620.4
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Como 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Como): shots 9–12, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.62–0.4, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.27 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Como14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliComoBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Como.

5 days ▲Rest daysEmpoli · Como3.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEmpoliComoBaseline
Rest days5 days3.91 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsEmpoli 9 shots, Como 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsEmpoli 4 shots, Como 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.4 xGEmpoli 0.62 xG, Como 0.4 xG
  • Possession41%59%Empoli 41%, Como 59%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersEmpoli 3 corners, Como 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsEmpoli 17 fouls, Como 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrea Belotti · Como · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlberto Dossena · Como · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMattia De Sciglio · Empoli · 60′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Empoli · 47′ · 0.02 xG · goalYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattia Viti · Empoli · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Empoli · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Cerri · Como · 87′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrea Belotti · Como · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 54′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.59 xG. Como: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pietro Pellegri · Empoli · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.59 xG · Como 0.41 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli11 matchesComo11 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.13 xG/match
8.27 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.5 shots/match
2.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.09 shots/match
36.5%Possession11/11● 55.3%
3.82 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.27 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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