PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 2–2 Cagliari · Serie A

Genoa

DLLWD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa and Cagliari drew 2–2.

Shots
2017
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.763.01
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa and Cagliari drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Cagliari): shots 20–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.76–3.01, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsGenoa · Cagliari13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenoaCagliariBaseline
Fouls13.1 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots17 shotsGenoa 20 shots, Cagliari 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsGenoa 6 shots, Cagliari 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG3.01 xGGenoa 1.76 xG, Cagliari 3.01 xG
  • Possession52%48%Genoa 52%, Cagliari 48%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersGenoa 6 corners, Cagliari 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsGenoa 11 fouls, Cagliari 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessandro Zanoli · Genoa · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 78′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 69′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 12′ · 0.16 xG · goalFabio Miretti · Genoa · 59′ · 0.17 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 32′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 21′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.64 xG · on targetRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.76 xG. Cagliari: 17 shots, 6 on target, 3.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Morten Frendrup · Genoa · 12′Fabio Miretti · Genoa · 59′Răzvan Marin · Cagliari · 8′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.76 xG · Cagliari 3.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Genoa
2Draws
1Cagliari
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie A3–0
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa13 matchesCagliari13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.85 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.41 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.38 shots/match
41.5%Possession13/13● 45.6%
4 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.15 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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