PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Como 0–2 Fiorentina · Serie A

Como

DLLLD
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 0–2.

Shots
108
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.140.96
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Como 2–0. Recorded in this match (Como – Fiorentina): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.14–0.96, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsComo 10 shots, Fiorentina 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsComo 4 shots, Fiorentina 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG0.96 xGComo 1.14 xG, Fiorentina 0.96 xG
  • Possession57%43%Como 57%, Fiorentina 43%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersComo 3 corners, Fiorentina 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsComo 11 fouls, Fiorentina 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alieu Fadera · Como · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Fiorentina · 19′ · 0.03 xG · goalRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSimone Verdi · Como · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 18′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFederico Barba · Como · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFederico Barba · Como · 60′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 68′ · 0.14 xG · goalAndrea Belotti · Como · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 85′ · 0.19 xG · on targetEdoardo Goldaniga · Como · 60′ · 0.52 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.23 xG. Fiorentina: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yacine Adli · Fiorentina · 19′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 1.23 xG · Fiorentina 0.80 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como13 matchesFiorentina13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.58 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots13/1313.7 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.54 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession13/1353.9%
4.23 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.62 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsComoFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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