Serie A · 2024

Como 1–1 Monza · Serie A

Como

LLLDL
1–1Historical match

Monza

DLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como and Monza drew 1–1.

Shots
179
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.291.38
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como and Monza drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Monza): shots 17–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.29–1.38, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsComo · Monza7.64 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricComoMonzaBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match7.64 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against9.71 shots/match14 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.5% ●PossessionComo · Monza46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricComoMonzaBaseline
Possession55.5%46.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsComo 17 shots, Monza 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsComo 3 shots, Monza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG1.38 xGComo 1.29 xG, Monza 1.38 xG
  • Possession54%46%Como 54%, Monza 46%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersComo 11 corners, Monza 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsComo 16 fouls, Monza 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dany Mota · Monza · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick Cutrone · Como · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Como · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Iovine · Como · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca Caldirola · Monza · 32′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSimone Verdi · Como · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDany Mota · Monza · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEdoardo Goldaniga · Como · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlieu Fadera · Como · 8′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Como · 36′ · 0.17 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Como · 90′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 17 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG. Monza: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yannik Engelhardt · Como · 36′Gianluca Caprari · Monza · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 1.32 xG · Monza 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Como
0Draws
1Monza
Como — Monza · Serie B2–0
Monza — Como · Serie B3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como14 matchesMonza14 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.74 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/147.64 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.64 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession14/1446.4%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners14/143.21 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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