Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 1–0.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.830.7
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Hellas Verona): shots 19–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.83–0.7, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

moderate

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.57 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.57 shots/match9.21 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cagliari have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.9% ●PossessionCagliari · Hellas Verona38.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession46.9%38.6%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsCagliari 19 shots, Hellas Verona 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCagliari 5 shots, Hellas Verona 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG0.7 xGCagliari 1.83 xG, Hellas Verona 0.7 xG
  • Possession64%36%Cagliari 64%, Hellas Verona 36%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerCagliari 7 corners, Hellas Verona 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsCagliari 10 fouls, Hellas Verona 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Suat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDomagoj Bradarić · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDailon Rocha Livramento · Hellas Verona · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMattia Felici · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 79′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.21 xG · on targetYerry Mina · Cagliari · 6′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 75′ · 0.34 xG · goalAdam Obert · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG. Hellas Verona: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Roberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.91 xG · Hellas Verona 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
2Hellas Verona
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–2
Hellas Verona — Cagliari · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari14 matchesHellas Verona14 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142.36 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.93 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/149.21 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.43 shots/match
46.9% ●Possession14/1438.6%
6.21 corners/match ●Corners14/144 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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