PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 1–0 Roma · Serie A

Napoli

WWWLD
1–0Historical match

Roma

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 1–0.

Shots
146
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.390.57
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Roma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Roma): shots 14–6, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.39–0.57, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.54 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.7%PossessionNapoli · Roma● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNapoliRomaBaseline
Possession49.7%58.3%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsNapoli 14 shots, Roma 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotNapoli 2 shots, Roma 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.57 xGNapoli 1.39 xG, Roma 0.57 xG
  • Possession63%37%Napoli 63%, Roma 37%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersNapoli 8 corners, Roma 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsNapoli 8 fouls, Roma 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Roma · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · Roma · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Napoli · 87′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 9′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 58′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 2′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 66′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 54′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.37 xG. Roma: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Napoli · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.37 xG · Roma 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
2Draws
1Roma
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Napoli · Serie A2–0
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Napoli — Roma · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli13 matchesRoma13 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.25 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.15 shots/match
49.7%Possession13/13● 58.3%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners13/133.62 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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