PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Torino 0–1 Napoli · Serie A

Torino

WLLLD
0–1Historical match

Napoli

WWLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 0–1.

Shots
516
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.261.41
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Torino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Napoli): shots 5–16, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.26–1.41, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Napoli13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoNapoliBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsTorino 5 shots, Napoli 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsTorino 1 shot, Napoli 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.26 xG1.41 xGTorino 0.26 xG, Napoli 1.41 xG
  • Possession48%52%Torino 48%, Napoli 52%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersTorino 4 corners, Napoli 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsTorino 15 fouls, Napoli 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuele Ricci · Torino · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Napoli · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYann Karamoh · Torino · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMërgim Vojvoda · Torino · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 9′ · 0.08 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 31′ · 0.08 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 23′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetChe Adams · Torino · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMathías Olivera · Napoli · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 28′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.26 xG. Napoli: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.26 xG · Napoli 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
1Draws
3Napoli
Napoli — Torino · Serie A1–1
Torino — Napoli · Serie A3–0
Torino — Napoli · Serie A0–4
Napoli — Torino · Serie A3–1
Torino — Napoli · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino14 matchesNapoli14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.64 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.46 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4 shots/match
48.4%Possession14/14● 49.9%
3.93 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.36 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoNapoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headTorino — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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