PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Parma 3–1 Lazio · Serie A

Parma

DDLWL
3–1Historical match

Lazio

WWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 3–1.

Shots
1223
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.552.6
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Lazio 3–1. Recorded in this match (Parma – Lazio): shots 12–23, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.55–2.6, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Lazio14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaLazioBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match9.86 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2.07 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionParma · Lazio● 55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaLazioBaseline
Possession44.4%55%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots23 shotsParma 12 shots, Lazio 23 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsParma 4 shots, Lazio 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG2.6 xGParma 1.55 xG, Lazio 2.6 xG
  • Possession28%72%Parma 28%, Lazio 72%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersParma 4 corners, Lazio 10 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsParma 17 fouls, Lazio 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luca Pellegrini · Lazio · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Charpentier · Parma · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnas Haj Mohamed · Parma · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSimon Sohm · Parma · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnrico Delprato · Parma · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnas Haj Mohamed · Parma · 53′ · 0.07 xG · goalLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDennis Man · Parma · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 42′ · 0.16 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 61′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 85′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · Parma · 6′ · 0.44 xG · goalEnrico Delprato · Parma · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 80′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.49 xG. Lazio: 23 shots, 8 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Dennis Man · Parma · 6′Anas Haj Mohamed · Parma · 53′Enrico Delprato · Parma · 90′Valentín Castellanos · Lazio · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.49 xG · Lazio 2.56 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma14 matchesLazio14 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.91 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.5 shots/match
44.4%Possession14/14● 55%
5.21 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.93 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required