PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lazio 3–0 Bologna · Serie A

Lazio

LWWWW
3–0Historical match

Bologna

DDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 3–0.

Shots
133
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.960.07
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Bologna 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Bologna): shots 13–3, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.96–0.07, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.15 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Bologna13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioBolognaBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.69 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots3 shotsLazio 13 shots, Bologna 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotLazio 4 shots, Bologna 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.07 xGLazio 1.96 xG, Bologna 0.07 xG
  • Possession70%30%Lazio 70%, Bologna 30%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersLazio 3 corners, Bologna 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsLazio 14 fouls, Bologna 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 72′ · 0.08 xG · goalFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 21′ · 0.17 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 56′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 45′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Lazio · 68′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.00 xG. Bologna: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Samuel Gigot · Lazio · 68′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 72′Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 2.00 xG · Bologna 0.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Bologna
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio13 matchesBologna12 matches
2.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/121.25 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/121.33 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/121.06 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots13/1213.2 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/124 shots/match
53.7%Possession13/12● 57.7%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners13/125.08 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1215.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLazio — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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