PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 1–1 Juventus · Serie A

Lecce

LWLDW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce and Juventus drew 1–1.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.561.3
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce and Juventus drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Juventus): shots 10–14, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.56–1.3, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Juventus12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceJuventusBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match8.21 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionLecce · Juventus● 61.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceJuventusBaseline
Possession42.1%61.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsLecce 10 shots, Juventus 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLecce 6 shots, Juventus 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.3 xGLecce 1.56 xG, Juventus 1.3 xG
  • Possession38%62%Lecce 38%, Juventus 62%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersLecce 2 corners, Juventus 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsLecce 8 fouls, Juventus 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenan Yıldız · Juventus · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Gatti · Juventus · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 68′ · 0.02 xG · goalManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre Kalulu · Juventus · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Juventus · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Mbangula · Juventus · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 49′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 27′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAnte Rebić · Lecce · 90′ · 0.77 xG · goalKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 6′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG. Juventus: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ante Rebić · Lecce · 90′Andrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.48 xG · Juventus 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
0Draws
4Juventus
Lecce — Juventus · Serie A0–3
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Juventus · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce14 matchesJuventus14 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.42 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots14/1412.9 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.07 shots/match
42.1%Possession14/14● 61.1%
3.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.29 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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