Serie A · 2024

Inter 1–0 Genoa · Serie A

Inter

WDLWL
1–0Historical match

Genoa

LWLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.391.11
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Genoa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Genoa): shots 18–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.39–1.11, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.27 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Genoa11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.42 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1% ●PossessionInter · Genoa44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterGenoaBaseline
Possession60.1%44.5%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsInter 18 shots, Genoa 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsInter 5 shots, Genoa 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG1.11 xGInter 1.39 xG, Genoa 1.11 xG
  • Possession62%38%Inter 62%, Genoa 38%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersInter 6 corners, Genoa 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsInter 7 fouls, Genoa 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Barella · Inter · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrizio Masini · Genoa · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean Onana · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrizio Masini · Genoa · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetFabio Miretti · Genoa · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 78′ · 0.21 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Venturino · Genoa · 81′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMehdi Taremi · Inter · 89′ · 0.32 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 76′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG. Genoa: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.51 xG · Genoa 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
3Draws
0Genoa
Genoa — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A0–0
Inter — Genoa · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter26 matchesGenoa26 matches
2.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.92 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.31 goals/match
1.88 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.06 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.2 shots/match
5.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.35 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession26/2644.5%
6.23 corners/match ●Corners26/264.35 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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