Serie A · 2024

Parma 2–0 Bologna · Serie A

Parma

DLLLL
2–0Historical match

Bologna

WDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 2–0.

Shots
416
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.230.94
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Bologna 2–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Bologna): shots 4–16, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.23–0.94, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Bologna13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaBolognaBaseline
Shots12 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match9.28 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots16 shotsParma 4 shots, Bologna 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotParma 3 shots, Bologna 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.94 xGParma 1.23 xG, Bologna 0.94 xG
  • Possession26%74%Parma 26%, Bologna 74%
  • Corners0 corners4 cornersParma 0 corners, Bologna 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsParma 14 fouls, Bologna 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jhon Lucumí · Bologna · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 1′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 79′ · 0.14 xG · goalDennis Man · Parma · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 4 shots, 3 on target, 1.15 xG. Bologna: 16 shots, 1 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 37′Simon Sohm · Parma · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 1.15 xG · Bologna 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
1Draws
0Bologna
Bologna — Parma · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma26 matchesBologna25 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals26/25▲ 1.31 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots26/25▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/25▲ 4.84 shots/match
44%Possession26/25● 58.3%
4.73 corners/match ●Corners26/254.52 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls26/2514.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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