Serie A · 2024

Parma 0–1 Roma · Serie A

Parma

LDLLL
0–1Historical match

Roma

DWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–1.

Shots
516
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.261.12
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Parma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Roma): shots 5–16, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.26–1.12, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Roma13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaRomaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Parma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.2 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionParma · Roma● 55.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaRomaBaseline
Possession44.7%55.4%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsParma 5 shots, Roma 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsParma 1 shot, Roma 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.26 xG1.12 xGParma 0.26 xG, Roma 1.12 xG
  • Possession28%72%Parma 28%, Roma 72%
  • Corners1 corner10 cornersParma 1 corner, Roma 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls5 foulsParma 11 fouls, Roma 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zeki Çelik · Roma · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Paredes · Roma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnass Salah-Eddine · Roma · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetZeki Çelik · Roma · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Parma · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pisilli · Roma · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 57′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Roma · 51′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Roma · 33′ · 0.16 xG · goalAnass Salah-Eddine · Roma · 51′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.23 xG. Roma: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Matías Soulé · Roma · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 0.23 xG · Roma 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
0Draws
1Roma
Roma — Parma · Serie A5–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma25 matchesRoma25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.44 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.64 shots/match
44.7%Possession25/25● 55.4%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners25/254.2 corners/match
9.72 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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