PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Hellas Verona 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Bologna

DWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

Shots
712
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.161.32
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Hellas Verona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Bologna): shots 7–12, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.16–1.32, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.7%PossessionHellas Verona · Bologna● 58.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Possession37.7%58.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHellas Verona · Bologna13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaBolognaBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match8.89 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsHellas Verona 7 shots, Bologna 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsHellas Verona 2 shots, Bologna 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.32 xGHellas Verona 1.16 xG, Bologna 1.32 xG
  • Possession32%68%Hellas Verona 32%, Bologna 68%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersHellas Verona 1 corner, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls11 foulsHellas Verona 23 fouls, Bologna 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 78′ · 0.04 xG · goalAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 63′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.21 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 90′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 40′ · 0.44 xG · goalDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.88 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.36 xG. Bologna: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Daniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 80′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 40′Nicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.36 xG · Bologna 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hellas Verona
2Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona28 matchesBologna28 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.57 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.21 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.37 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.8 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.86 shots/match
37.7%Possession28/28● 58.8%
4.11 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.43 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHellas VeronaBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headHellas Verona — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required