Serie A · 2024

Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

Napoli

DDDLD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
2.851.13
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Fiorentina): shots 19–7, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 2.85–1.13, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

strong

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsNapoli 19 shots, Fiorentina 7 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsNapoli 11 shots, Fiorentina 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.85 xG1.13 xGNapoli 2.85 xG, Fiorentina 1.13 xG
  • Possession49%51%Napoli 49%, Fiorentina 51%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersNapoli 4 corners, Fiorentina 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsNapoli 10 fouls, Fiorentina 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessandro Buongiorno · Napoli · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.03 xG · goalMatteo Politano · Napoli · 77′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Napoli · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 38′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 58′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 32′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.28 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 10′ · 0.41 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 26′ · 0.49 xG · goalGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 90′ · 0.49 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 60′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 19 shots, 11 on target, 2.83 xG. Fiorentina: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Napoli · 26′Giacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 60′Albert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 2.83 xG · Fiorentina 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
2Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Napoli · Serie A0–3
Fiorentina — Napoli · Serie A2–2
Napoli — Fiorentina · Serie A1–3
Napoli — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Napoli · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli28 matchesFiorentina28 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.54 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.07 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.3 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.7 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.43 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession28/2849.9%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners28/284.11 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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